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Free College Football Pick: Army vs Cincinnati

Cincinnati is a solid football team and the Bearcats have been solid defensively. Cincinnati bullied little Austin Peay, but Army’s suffocated their opponents, allowing just 7 points in two games (including a Louisiana-Monroe team can sure score points in bunches. I wouldn’t be surprised if we saw another tight game. The line opened at 11 and jumped up 14 as of this writing. After all, I'm an Army vet and my high school had the same knickname LOL. Cadets infantry kills clock and keeps this one under the generous number. Note that the underdog is 4-0 ATS last four meetings. I’ll take the points and the Black Knights in this one.
Dennis Stagliano | 24/9/2020

Preakness Stakes Adds Horses

William H. Lawrence's Liveyourbeastlife, the runner-up in the Grade 2 Jim Dandy, worked five-eighths in 59.89 seconds Thursday over the Belmont Park main track in preparation for the Preakness Stakes on October 3 at Pimlico Race Course.
Trainer Jorge Abreu said he was pleased with the work, and the Kentucky-bred Ghostzapper colt will be supplemented to the third and final leg of the Triple Crown.
"He breezed really well today," said Abreu of the breeze in company with New York-bred Freaky Styley [59.80]. "He went in 59 and 4 which is something he's never done before. We're going to take a shot."

The dark bay Ghostzapper colt has improved with added distance capturing a nine-furlong allowance event over older horses on August 12 at Saratoga Race Course ahead of a closing second to Mystic Guide in the nine-furlong Jim Dandy on September 5.
"He didn't show much early on but every jockey that rode him never came back with a negative thing about him, they would say, 'this horse wants to run long,'" said Abreu.
Liveyourbeastlife utilized a prominent trip for his August 12 allowance win. After running sixth in the Jim Dandy, jockey Junior Alvarado said the horse struggled from the half-mile to the three-eighths pole.
"He's really weird. Sometimes he'll break and take himself back, the past two races he's been wanting to go," said Abreu. "Junior admitted he lost position at the half-mile pole and he had to do too much. If he had kept him forwardly placed, he probably would have won the race. He gave him too much to do from the quarter-mile pole on home."
Abreu said he expects Alvarado to retain the mount for the Preakness.
"He's a horse that needs somebody that knows him," Abreu said.
Liveyourbeastlife will have his final Preakness prep at Belmont one week from Saturday.
Out of the Kris S. mare Ellie's Moment, Liveyourbeastlife is a half-brother to Grade 1-winner on turf Time and Motion.
2020 Preakness Stakes (G1)
*Rating is based on HRN fan votes, which rank the Top Active Horses in training.
SilksHorse / SireRatingTrainer / JockeyLast StartStatus Tiz the Law
Constitution8.03B. Tagg
2nd, 2020 Kentucky Derby (G1) Possible Art Collector
Bernardini7.46T. Drury
1st, 2020 Ellis Park Derby (LS) Probable Swiss Skydiver
Daredevil7.44K. McPeek
2nd, 2020 Kentucky Oaks (G1) Possible Authentic
Into Mischief7.08B. Baffert
1st, 2020 Kentucky Derby (G1) Probable Ny Traffic
Cross Traffic6.53S. Joseph, Jr.
8th, 2020 Kentucky Derby (G1) Possible Dr Post
Quality Road6.49T. Pletcher
4th, 2020 Jim Dandy (G2) Possible Mr. Big News
Giant's Causeway6.35W. Calhoun
3rd, 2020 Kentucky Derby (G1) Probable Thousand Words
Pioneerof the Nile6.10B. Baffert
1st, 2020 Shared Belief Stakes (LS) Probable Mystic Guide
Ghostzapper6.03M. Stidham
1st, 2020 Jim Dandy (G2) Possible Pneumatic
Uncle Mo5.92S. Asmussen
1st, 2020 Pegasus (LS) Probable Liveyourbeastlife
Ghostzapper4.45J. Abreu
2nd, 2020 Jim Dandy (G2) Probable Happy Saver
Super Saver4.19T. Pletcher
1st, 2020 Federico Tesio (LS)Possible
NYRA Press Office | 18/9/2020

Free MLB Pick: Kansas City vs Detroit

The Royals had won six in a row until losing to the Tigers on Tuesday. The price certainly is reasonable to back the Royals in a pitching matchup of Brady Singer versus Tarik Skubal. Royals Brady Singer is coming off his best outing wen he shut out the Indians on one hit in eight innings with eight strikeouts last Thursday. Singer is fresh after five restful dayss. The Tigers main threat, injured second baseman Jonathan Schoop, who was leading the team in homers is out. Furthermore, their starter Skubal has been throwing up gopher balls this season with a 7.27 ERA. TAKE: KANSAS CITY - 125
Dennis Stagliano | 16/9/2020

Free MLB Pick: Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati

The starting pitcher for the Pittsburgh Pirates has been terrible in five starts this season, Joe Musgrove lost four of those starts.The Reds is not even close to intimidating. but the Pirates are even worse. Pirates just simply find it very hard to score on anyone.

Mike Lorenzen who has been primarily used as a reliver this season gets the start tonight. Lorenzen is a good enough pitcher to beat the Bucs. Take the Reds on the moneyline - 130.
Dennis Stagliano | 15/9/2020

Free NFL Pick Tennessee at Denver

The Titans are 7-1 ATS in their last eight Monday games and 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. Tennessee is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 versus the AFC and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games in September.

Meanwhile, the Broncos are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite and 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite. Denver is 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games in September and 0-4-1 ATS in their last five Monday games.

I like a side in this game and also in the Giants Steelers game. First game of the season and the Titans will be sucking wind in Denver. Don't get fooled by this game, buy my guaranteed pick now. Both are guaranteed and ready at www.gridirongold.com/nfl-football-picks.com I am also giving my over under picks for both games included free with your purchase. Giddy up games starting soon.
Dennis Stagliano | 14/9/2020

Vikings vs. Packers: Week 1 Line and Betting Trends

Oddsmakers expect a close game when the Minnesota Vikings (0-0) host the Green Bay Packers (0-0) on Sunday, September 13, 2020 in a matchup between NFC North opponents at U.S. Bank Stadium. Minnesota is favored by 2.5 points. An over/under of 45.5 is set for the game.
Game Info

Game Day: Sunday, September 13, 2020
Game Time: 1:00 PM
TV Channel: FOX
Location: Minneapolis, MN
Stadium: U.S. Bank Stadium

Betting Information
Vikings vs Packers Betting Information Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Vikings -2.5 -110 -110 45.5 -110 -110 -140 120
Vikings Betting Insights

Minnesota went 8-6 against the spread last year.
The Vikings had an ATS record of 5-4 when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites last season.
Minnesota’s games went over the point total in nine out of 14 opportunities last season (64.3%).
The Vikings averaged 5.8 more points last season (25.4) than the Packers allowed (19.6).
When they met or exceeded their scoring average last season, Minnesota was 8-1 and 6-2 against the spread.
When the Green Bay defense allowed 19.6 points or fewer last year, the Packers accumulated an 8-0 overall record and a 5-1 record against the spread.

Packers Betting Insights

Green Bay games went under the point total eight times in 14 opportunities last season.
Green Bay found success against the spread last season, covering in eight out of 14 games.
The Packers record as at least a 2.5-point underdog was a solid 6-5 last season.
The Packers averaged 4.6 more points last season (23.5) than the Vikings allowed (18.9).
In games where Green Bay scored at least 23.5 points last season, they were 6-1 overall and 6-1 against the spread.
Minnesota was 6-1 overall and 4-2 against the spread last season in games where they allowed fewer than 18.9 points.

Total Facts

The Vikings and their opponents combined for 45.5 points — this matchup’s over/under — in eight of 16 outings (50%) last season.
Green Bay played in four games in 2019 (out of 16 total matchups — 25% of chances) where they combined with their opponents to score at least 45.5 points.
The Vikings and the Packers combined to average 3.4 more points per game a season ago than the over/under of 45.5 set for this game.
Opponents of these two teams averaged a combined 38.5 points per game last season, 7.0 less than the point total for this game.
The average over/under the Vikings had set in games last year was 1.1 fewer points than this outing’s point total.
The average over/under in Packers games in 2019 was 2.4 less points than the point total of 45.5 in this outing.

Vikings vs Packers: Last 5 Meetings

Minnesota holds an edge against Green Bay over the past five matchups between these two teams, collecting a 3-2 record in those games. The Packers are 2-0 against the spread in those games against the Vikings. Minnesota outscored Green Bay 95-90 in those five head-to-head matchups.
Vikings vs Packers: Last Five Meetings Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
12/23/2019 Vikings Vikings -4 47 -195 +170 383-139 GB 23-10 GB
9/15/2019 Packers Packers -3 43.5 -167 +148 421-335 MIN 21-16 GB
11/25/2018 N/A Vikings N/A N/A N/A N/A 416-254 MIN 24-17 MIN
9/16/2018 N/A Packers N/A N/A N/A N/A 480-351 MIN 29-29 tie
12/23/2017 N/A Packers N/A N/A N/A N/A 239-236 GB 16-0 MIN
Injury Report

Vikings: No Injuries Listed

Packers: No Injuries Listed
Data Skrive | 13/9/2020

Free NFL Pick Seattle vs Atlanta

The FALCONS are the play as slight home dogs in the season opener. Both teams made several key changes on the defensive side of the ball to improve on last year’s poorly-ranked units.
The Seahawks are still led by the strong quartet of QB Russell Wilson, RB Chris Carson, and WRs Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf, but look for Atlanta’s improved defensive line to make life more difficult for Wilson than it was in this matchup last year. We're going to back
Dennis Stagliano | 12/9/2020

NFL News & NFL Week 1 Picks

NFL Week 1 is here! Check out updated NFL odds and picks for the top overlay and underlay favorites. Also, check out the top dark horse moneyline and top dark horse against the spread picks for the first week in the 2020 season so you can place your bets against their NFL odds!

Week 1 Odds, Picks, Favorites & Dark Horses | 2020 NFL Update

Top NFL Week 1 Odds Favorites to Back

Top Favorite to Back: Kansas City Chiefs -9 ½ versus Houston Texans
9 ½ seems like a ton of points. This season’s Houston Texans squad isn’t close to the one that scored 24 points against the Chiefs in the playoffs last season. Deshaun Watson will be without security blanket, while Houston’s defense is a mess.

Sure, J.J. Watt will play strong like he does every time he steps onto the field. The rest of the front seven won’t protect J.J. from double-teams. If the Texans can’t pressure Mahomes, they won’t stop the Chiefs from scoring points on every drive.

Top Favorite to Stay Away From: Baltimore Ravens -7 ½ versus Cleveland Browns
Nobody knows for sure if Lamar Jackson is one-hundred percent. The 2019 MVP suffered a groin injury. Groin injuries are notorious for taking a long time to heal. Not only that, but the Browns are a much better team this season.

The offense should rock it unless Baker Mayfield simply doesn’t know how to play quarterback in the NFL. The defense could be a top five unit if free agent additions Andrew Sendejo, Karl Joseph, and Sheldon Richardson step it up.

That doesn’t mean Cleveland beats the Ravens. It does mean the Browns should keep this closer than the number.

Top Dark Horse to Back: Arizona Cardinals +255 moneyline vs San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers should be one of the best teams in the NFC. In this game, though, the Niners will find it difficult to stop the Cardinals from scoring at least 28. Arizona’s offense should be on of the top units in the NFL.

On Sep. 8, the Cards signed DeAndre Hopkins to a two-year extension. With a happy Hopkins playing on the opposite side of Fitzgerald, Christian Kirk in the slot, and a backfield that includes Murray, Kenyan Drake, and Chase Edmonds, few teams will stop Arizona from scoring TD after TD.

Expect the offense to hang 28 to 35 onto the 49ers. If that happens, the Desert Birds should be close enough in the fourth quarter to challenge for the straight up win.

Top Dark Horse to Back ATS: New York Giants +6 versus Pittsburgh Steelers
Sure, the G-Men won’t play in front of fans. No worries. The Giants are still a home team giving up 6 points to a squad with a quarterback that hasn’t played in a year. Yes, the Steelers are the better team.

But are they good enough to beat the New York Giants by 7? New York will field an improved offense and improved defense. Don’t be surprised if quarterback Daniel Jones pulls a Carson Wentz in his second season in the NFL. Jones has the tools to make the Giants an 8-8 squad.

When it comes to the Week 1 matchup, Pittsburgh’s defense won’t contain a motivated Saquon Barkley while Jones has a much better offensive line to protect him. The defense is also better than it has been in years. The Giants can make this a field goal game.
D S. Williamson | 9/9/2020

FREE MLB Pick: Boston at Tampa Bay

Boston at Tampa Bay Thursday 6:40 ET
The Rays have dominated the Red Sox this season coming into this contest, taking 5 of 6 games while averaging over 7 runs a game. Josh Fleming has won all three of his starts in his short career. Boston's unfamiliarity with Fleming will make scoring for the BoSox tough.
Dennis Stagliano | 9/9/2020
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