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Rodgers will be good for the Jets this season, but he may be a bit rusty. Also he's on the road,  and returning from injury in the first game of the season. These are top NFL defenses and they should be tough on Monday. Pick: Under 45

The Colts offense is led by a promising young quarterback (A Richardson). The Packers lost starting QB Jordan Love to an injury last week. The Packers will start Malik Willis this week. Therefore, the Colts offense has the firepower to outscore the Packers, and their defense has improved significantly. I'm giving the edge to the  Colts. Pick: Colts - 2

Week 4 Free NFL Pick: Tennessee Titans at Miami Dolphins Monday September 30, 2024
Both of these teams come into this matchup with below average quarterbacks. The Titans have not scored more  than 17 points in any of their three games and practically gave away the  first game against the Bears. Miami is dealing with Tua’s injury at quarterback and the starter is  up in the air for this game, so it is tough to expect the Miami  offense to be efficient. Points will be hard to come by for both squads. I am  going with the tick in this game. Pick: Under 37

Jags sitting at 0-4 but how about the chance to get their first win against a team that is 0-9 SU in its last nine trips to Jacksonville? Seems the indoor Colts have a difficult time playing on grass and the Florida hot and humid weather. Further hindrance here could be the latest injuries to QB Anthony Richardson and RB Jonathan Taylor. Or, if Richardson plays (likely) and they ask him to throw the ball more and run less. Jags are a horrible 1-9 SU in their last 10 games, 0-9 SU in the last nine. This is a great spot for the Jags to get in the win column. Gotta have balls to Pick: Jaguars - 2.5

The Commanders are on a roll, having won four straight games (both straight up and against the spread) since their opening loss. Their recent victories have been impressive, with margins of victory exceeding 20 points in each of the last two games. Facing the Ravens, who are coming off a thrilling overtime win against a divisional opponent, the Commanders offer value as underdogs in what is expected to be another close matchup. Let's take advantage of the generous points spread and support the red-hot Commanders. Pick: Washington + 7

Miami's defense has been one of the surprises of the first half of the season. They're currently surrendering only 5.2 yards per play, ninth-best in the league. The Colts have the third-worst defense in the NFL, but can Miami’s offense find a rhythm without Tagovailoa? The recent tape says no. Pick: Dolphins/Colts Under 44

Week 8 Free NFL Pick: Chicago - 2 at Washington: Sunday October  27, 2024    
This was supposed to be the game highlighting 2024 No. 1 pick Caleb Williams of the Bears vs. No. 2 overall pick Jayden Daniels of the Commanders. But Daniels has a rib injury and his availability is in doubt. That would mean Marcus Mariota would start. Without Daniels, the pick is the Bears since they have the better defense. Williams will continue to show improvement. Pick: Chicago - 2

Bettors may want to wait to find out whether or not Derek Carr is going to play before betting on Saints vs Panthers in Week 9. Whether or not Carr is on the field, we don’t expect much from the Carolina offense. As a result, we will take the under, as the Panthers have gone under the total in seven of their first eight games of the 2024 season. Pick: Under 44

Houston WR Nico Collins (hamstring) and DE Will Anderson Jr. (ankle) did not play during last Sunday’s loss. The Texans feature the better defense, but both teams have issues along the offensive line. Just like last week, the Cowboys will have trouble scoring. Look for Houston to shut down Cooper Rush in a game that stays under the total. Pick: Texans/Cowboys Under 43

I do believe the defenses will have the upper hand on both sides of the football. I expect the Giants to ride the ground game heavily, and I believe that pace will help limit scoring opportunities, which also favors the defenses. As a result, I believe the “under” is the play here. Pick: Bucs/Giants Under 43

Week 13 Free NFL Pick: Indianapolis Colts (43) at New England Patriots - Sunday December 1, 2024
The Colts are road favorites at New England, where the Patriots have lost three of four since turning to rookie quarterback Drake Maye. Colts second-year quarterback Anthony Richardson also is still developing, and that makes this a low-percentage passing attack on both sides. Pick: Under 43

New York's primary disadvantage has been their defense, as they've allowed opposing ball-carriers to rush for the #1-most yards per carry: 5.51. That kind of ineffectiveness has also reached over to their pass defense, which has landed them in the #25 spot in terms of yards per target (8.19). New Orleans's biggest weakness has been their defense, ranking #29 allowing 391 yards per game. They've allowed opposing ball-carriers to rush for the #3-most yards per carry: 5.26. That's not to give any unnecessary credit to their pass defense, though, which checks in at #9-worst in yards per target (8.16). Pick: Saints/Giants Over 39.5

Jag's primary disadvantage has been their defense, which has allowed a monstrous 415 yards per game this year, sliding them into the #2 spot among the league's worst. They've struggled in large part because they've been unable to keep opposing offenses from moving the chains via their pass attack. New York's biggest strength has been their defense, ranking #10 in the league while allowing just 335 yards per game. Much of their success has been in locking down the pass game, holding opposing QBs to the #4-least yards per game. Aaron Rodgers may just have his best game of the year against the Jags very poor pass defense. Pick: NY Jets - 3