NFL Matchup Trends
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NFL Matchup Trends & Head-to-Head Betting History
Gridiron Gold's weekly NFL matchup trends provide a quick look at how this week's opponents have performed against one another in recent meetings.
Each matchup report reviews recent head-to-head results, straight-up series performance, average scoring and winning margins. When reliable historical closing point spreads and totals can be verified, we may also include ATS and over-under results.
NFL matchup trends are one part of the handicapping process. Current quarterback play, injuries, offensive-line performance, defensive matchups, rest, travel, weather and the current betting line can be more important than historical results alone.
Gridiron Gold reviews the three most recent meetings between this week's opponents, including series results, scoring averages and notable matchup patterns. Historical trends are provided as handicapping research and should be evaluated alongside current personnel, injuries, power ratings and betting lines.
This Week’s NFL Matchup Trends
GRIDIRON GOLD — NFL MATCHUP TRENDS
Updated Tuesday, October 6, 2026
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys
Last 3: Dallas 26-24 (2024); Dallas 31-14 (2022 playoffs); Tampa Bay 19-3 (2022).
Recent series: Dallas 2-1.
Current streak: Dallas 2.
Average score: Dallas 20.0, Tampa Bay 19.0.
Average margin: 11.7 points.
MATCHUP TREND: Dallas has taken the last two meetings, including a 31-14 playoff victory following the 2022 season. Tampa Bay had won the previous meeting 19-3, but the Cowboys have since flipped the matchup and enter this week's home meeting carrying a two-game series winning streak.
Recent series: Dallas 2-1.
Current streak: Dallas 2.
Average score: Dallas 20.0, Tampa Bay 19.0.
Average margin: 11.7 points.
MATCHUP TREND: Dallas has taken the last two meetings, including a 31-14 playoff victory following the 2022 season. Tampa Bay had won the previous meeting 19-3, but the Cowboys have since flipped the matchup and enter this week's home meeting carrying a two-game series winning streak.
Cleveland Browns at New York Jets
Last 3: New York Jets 27-20 (2025); Cleveland 37-20 (2023); New York Jets 31-30 (2022).
Recent series: New York Jets 2-1.
Current streak: New York Jets 1.
Average score: Cleveland 29.0, New York Jets 26.0.
Average margin: 8.3 points.
MATCHUP TREND: This series has produced two very different types of games recently. Cleveland rolled 37-20 in 2023, while the Jets won the other two, including a 31-30 thriller in 2022. The Jets have won two of the last three despite Cleveland holding the higher three-game scoring average.
Recent series: New York Jets 2-1.
Current streak: New York Jets 1.
Average score: Cleveland 29.0, New York Jets 26.0.
Average margin: 8.3 points.
MATCHUP TREND: This series has produced two very different types of games recently. Cleveland rolled 37-20 in 2023, while the Jets won the other two, including a 31-30 thriller in 2022. The Jets have won two of the last three despite Cleveland holding the higher three-game scoring average.
Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots
Last 3: Las Vegas 20-13 (2025); Las Vegas 21-17 (2023); Las Vegas 30-24 (2022).
Recent series: Las Vegas 3-0.
Current streak: Las Vegas 3.
Average score: Las Vegas 23.7, New England 18.0.
Average margin: 5.7 points.
MATCHUP TREND: Las Vegas has quietly taken complete control of the recent series, winning three consecutive meetings. All three were decided by seven points or fewer, however, with an average margin of only 5.7 points. The Raiders have consistently done just enough offensively to keep New England chasing from behind.
Recent series: Las Vegas 3-0.
Current streak: Las Vegas 3.
Average score: Las Vegas 23.7, New England 18.0.
Average margin: 5.7 points.
MATCHUP TREND: Las Vegas has quietly taken complete control of the recent series, winning three consecutive meetings. All three were decided by seven points or fewer, however, with an average margin of only 5.7 points. The Raiders have consistently done just enough offensively to keep New England chasing from behind.
New York Giants at Washington Commanders
Last 3: Washington 29-21 (2025); Washington 21-6 (2025); Washington 27-22 (2024).
Recent series: Washington 3-0.
Current streak: Washington 4.
Average score: Washington 25.7, New York Giants 16.3.
Average margin: 9.3 points.
MATCHUP TREND: Washington has reversed what had previously been a favorable series for New York, winning four consecutive meetings. The Commanders swept both meetings last season and have held the Giants to 22 points or fewer in each of the last three. Washington's average scoring advantage over those three games is more than nine points per contest.
Recent series: Washington 3-0.
Current streak: Washington 4.
Average score: Washington 25.7, New York Giants 16.3.
Average margin: 9.3 points.
MATCHUP TREND: Washington has reversed what had previously been a favorable series for New York, winning four consecutive meetings. The Commanders swept both meetings last season and have held the Giants to 22 points or fewer in each of the last three. Washington's average scoring advantage over those three games is more than nine points per contest.
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers
Last 3: Chicago 31-27 (2025 playoffs); Chicago 22-16 (2025); Green Bay 28-21 (2025).
Recent series: Chicago 2-1.
Current streak: Chicago 2.
Average score: Chicago 24.7, Green Bay 23.7.
Average margin: 5.7 points.
MATCHUP TREND: After years of Green Bay dominance, Chicago has finally changed the direction of this rivalry. The Bears have won two straight, including a 31-27 postseason victory in the most recent meeting. All three recent games were decided by seven points or fewer, with only one point separating the teams' average scoring production.
Recent series: Chicago 2-1.
Current streak: Chicago 2.
Average score: Chicago 24.7, Green Bay 23.7.
Average margin: 5.7 points.
MATCHUP TREND: After years of Green Bay dominance, Chicago has finally changed the direction of this rivalry. The Bears have won two straight, including a 31-27 postseason victory in the most recent meeting. All three recent games were decided by seven points or fewer, with only one point separating the teams' average scoring production.
Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers
Last 3: Denver 19-3 (2025); Los Angeles Chargers 23-20 (2025); Los Angeles Chargers 34-27 (2024).
Recent series: Los Angeles Chargers 2-1.
Current streak: Denver 1.
Average score: Denver 22.0, Los Angeles Chargers 20.0.
Average margin: 8.7 points.
MATCHUP TREND: The Chargers won three consecutive meetings before Denver emphatically stopped the run with a 19-3 victory in the most recent matchup. Los Angeles still owns two of the last three, but Denver has historically been strong in this AFC West series and enters this meeting having allowed only three points the last time these teams played.
Recent series: Los Angeles Chargers 2-1.
Current streak: Denver 1.
Average score: Denver 22.0, Los Angeles Chargers 20.0.
Average margin: 8.7 points.
MATCHUP TREND: The Chargers won three consecutive meetings before Denver emphatically stopped the run with a 19-3 victory in the most recent matchup. Los Angeles still owns two of the last three, but Denver has historically been strong in this AFC West series and enters this meeting having allowed only three points the last time these teams played.
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks
Last 3: Seattle 41-6 (2025 playoffs); Seattle 13-3 (2025); San Francisco 17-13 (2025).
Recent series: Seattle 2-1.
Current streak: Seattle 2.
Average score: Seattle 22.3, San Francisco 8.7.
Average margin: 16.3 points.
MATCHUP TREND: Seattle has dramatically reversed this NFC West rivalry after San Francisco controlled much of the preceding stretch. The Seahawks have won two straight, holding the 49ers to only nine combined points and punctuating the turnaround with a 41-6 playoff rout. The recent scoring differential makes this one of the week's most pronounced head-to-head trends. Warning: Make sure you check the injury reports from those last two games.
Recent series: Seattle 2-1.
Current streak: Seattle 2.
Average score: Seattle 22.3, San Francisco 8.7.
Average margin: 16.3 points.
MATCHUP TREND: Seattle has dramatically reversed this NFC West rivalry after San Francisco controlled much of the preceding stretch. The Seahawks have won two straight, holding the 49ers to only nine combined points and punctuating the turnaround with a 41-6 playoff rout. The recent scoring differential makes this one of the week's most pronounced head-to-head trends. Warning: Make sure you check the injury reports from those last two games.
Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams
Last 3: Los Angeles Rams 44-42 (2024); Buffalo 31-10 (2022); Buffalo 35-32 (2020).
Recent series: Buffalo 2-1.
Current streak: Los Angeles Rams 1.
Average score: Buffalo 36.0, Los Angeles Rams 28.7.
Average margin: 8.7 points.
MATCHUP TREND: Buffalo owns two of the last three, but the most recent meeting was a 44-42 Rams victory in one of the highest-scoring games in the recent series. Buffalo has averaged 36.0 points across the last three meetings, and two of those three games reached at least 67 combined points. The recent history points to a matchup capable of producing substantial offense.
Recent series: Buffalo 2-1.
Current streak: Los Angeles Rams 1.
Average score: Buffalo 36.0, Los Angeles Rams 28.7.
Average margin: 8.7 points.
MATCHUP TREND: Buffalo owns two of the last three, but the most recent meeting was a 44-42 Rams victory in one of the highest-scoring games in the recent series. Buffalo has averaged 36.0 points across the last three meetings, and two of those three games reached at least 67 combined points. The recent history points to a matchup capable of producing substantial offense.